Michigan vs UConn prediction, spread: Who is favored to win national championship?

The 2026 men's basketball national championship game is set with Michigan vs. UConn.

And while the Huskies are going for their third national title in four years, it's the Wolverines who enter Monday night's final as the heavy favorite.

Michigan blasted Arizona on Saturday in a matchup of the remaining No. 1 seeds in what many thought would be the best game of the NCAA Tournament. It didn't turn out that way, even with Wolverines star Yaxel Lendeborg dealing with an injury.

Michigan UConn prediction: Who will win national championship?

• Blake Toppmeyer: Michigan. The Wolverines’ total destruction of Arizona solidified that Michigan is the class of the tournament. UConn is playing well, but nobody is playing better than Michigan.
• Paul Myerberg: UConn. The underdog Huskies get hot from deep and win another close one to capture the program's seventh national title and cement Dan Hurley's place as the king of the sport. 
• Jordan Mendoza: Michigan. The Huskies are able to make it a competitive game, but Michigan is just too stacked. The Wolverines pull away midway through the second half and party like it’s 1989.
• John Brice: Michigan. The Wolverines played well enough in the regular season to land a No. 1 ranking for the first time in 13 years. They’re playing even better now — enough to end a national title drought that spans to 1989.
• Eddie Timanus: Michigan. While picking against UConn at the Final Four seems like a bad idea, this Michigan team is clearly built different. The Wolverines will take it, 90-75.
• Austin Curtright: Michigan. Michigan-Arizona was tabbed as one of the most-anticipated Final Four matchups in recent memory, and all the Wolverines did was dominate start to finish in a way no one has against the Wildcats this season. Michigan has defeated all of its 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament opponents by double digits, and finds a way to do so again against the Huskies, even with a potentially limited version of Yaxel Lendeborg.
• Ehsan Kassim: Michigan. Yes, this UConn team has been impressive in the past two rounds with a big comeback vs. Duke and then shut down Illinois' offense. Michigan is another beast, as the Wolverines have been the most dominant team in the NCAA Tournament. They pull off the win to end a couple of droughts, even with Yaxel Lendeborg playing at less than 100%.

That's how the humans think Monday's game will shake out. Here's who an AI simulator thinks will win the national title.

Michigan vs UConn spread, line: Who is favored to win national championship game?

Odds provided by BetMGM, as of 9 a.m., Monday, April 6

• Moneyline: Michigan (-325); UConn (+260)
• Spread: Michigan (-6.5)
• Total over/under: 144.5

National championship game time

The national title game between Michigan and UConn is scheduled to tip at 8:50 p.m., Monday, April 6.

What channel will the national championship game be on? How to watch, streaming info?

Monday's national title game is on TBS, TNT, truTV and available for streaming on HBO Max, which requires a subscription, or Sling TV, which carries TBS and truTV.