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Men's World Cup

Ecuador vs Germany World Cup prediction, picks, analysis, odds

Updated June 25, 2026, 12:48 p.m. ET

Editor's note:Follow along for live World Cup updates all day

Ecuador takes on Germany for each team's finale of Group E in the 2026 World Cup. The fixture will take place on Thursday, June 25 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey.

Ecuador has notched a loss and a draw so far. The South American side was upset by Ivory Coast 1-0 and then drew 0-0 to Curacao where goalkeeper Eloy Room had a historic 15-save performance. Captain Enner Valencia has underperformed as Ecuador was hoping to make it out of group play for only the second time in team history.

Germany has played well and already locked up the group. They did so with a 7-1 win over Curacao and a 2-1 victory over Ivory Coast. Nico Schlotterbeck tore a ligament in his ankle in the latest match and is out for the rest of the World Cup. With a spot in the Round of 32 already secured, manager Julian Nagelsmann has the option to rest his squad. The top two teams of each group will advance to the Round of 32 as well as the top eight third-place teams.

The 2026 World Cup is the largest ever, and USA TODAY is going all in with reporters on the ground in all 16 host cities across three countries to cover 48 teams vying for the trophy. Get our World Cup: Extra Time newsletter in your inbox every morning and join our WhatsApp channel to get the latest updates right in your texts.

Ecuador vs Germany World Cup predictions

Seth Vertelney: Ecuador 1-1 Germany

Germany will likely play a reserve-heavy side, having already clinched the group. But Ecuador could still struggle to break down its opponent after failing to score in its first two games.

Jon Arnold: Ecuador 1-1 Germany

Is this the game that Enner Valencia breaks through? It feels like it may be too little, too late for the Ecuador attack.

Victoria Hernandez: Ecuador 0-2 Germany

Germany has already won the group and lost Nico Schlotterbeck for the rest of the tournament, but Ecuador has shown very few signs of life in this World Cup.

World Cup picks, predictions and odds for June 25

How to watch Ecuador vs Germany on June 25

  • Matchup: Ecuador vs Germany
  • Date: Thursday, June 25
  • Time: 4:00 PM (ET)
  • Venue: MetLife Stadium
  • Location: East Rutherford, New Jersey
  • TV: Fox
  • Streaming: FOX One App
  • Spanish Broadcast: Telemundo, Peacock
Watch the 2026 World Cup with Fubo

Ecuador vs Germany World Cup odds

World Cup standings

Explore live group standings, stats and the updated bracket with USA TODAY Sports here.

2026 World Cup format

The 48 competing nations are divided into 12 groups of four. Each group will play a round robin style where teams are awarded three points for a win and one point for a draw. The top two teams in each group advance to the Round of 32 along with the eight best third-place squads. Tiebreakers in the group standings will be resolved using the following criteria:

  • Greatest number of points obtained in the group matches between the teams concerned
  • Superior goal difference resulting from the group matches between the teams concerned
  • Greatest number of goals scored in all group matches between the teams concerned
  • Superior goal difference in all group matches
  • Greatest number of goals scored in all group matches
  • Highest team conduct score (players and team officials) relating to the number of yellow and red cards obtained
  • The two or more teams still equal on points shall be ranked according to the most recent published edition of the FIFA Men's World Ranking

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